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Definitive Analysis

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HANMI Semiconductor Co., Ltd. (042700.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$117,233.20 - $504,170.24$286,314.48
Multi-Stage$59,069.05 - $64,624.59$61,795.96
Blended Fair Value$174,055.22
Current Price$96,500.00
Upside80.37%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS26.38%13.16%425.22204.29311.41206.4352.72131.91132.66113.38115.05125.52
YoY Growth--108.15%-34.40%50.86%291.55%-60.03%-0.56%17.00%-1.45%-8.34%1.59%
Dividend Yield--0.62%0.14%1.50%1.18%0.22%1.92%1.60%1.01%1.71%2.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)241,583.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)68,294.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)173,289.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)48,316.6830,197.9318,118.76
Cash Retained (M)173,289.26173,289.26173,289.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-48,316.68-30,197.93-18,118.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)124,972.58143,091.33155,170.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)95.3095.3095.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,311.431,501.561,628.32
LTM Dividend per Share716.66716.66716.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,311.431,501.561,628.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,028.092,218.222,344.98
WACC / Discount Rate7.33%7.33%7.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$117,233.20$286,314.48$504,170.24
Upside / Downside21.49%196.70%422.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)241,583.42257,286.34274,009.95291,820.60310,788.94330,990.22340,919.93
Payout Ratio28.27%40.62%52.96%65.31%77.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)68,294.16104,498.17145,120.15190,581.49241,339.67297,891.20315,350.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.33%7.33%7.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)96,451.7797,366.0098,280.24
Year 2 PV (M)123,631.96125,986.80128,363.86
Year 3 PV (M)149,859.84154,161.77158,545.26
Year 4 PV (M)175,159.93181,896.09188,824.69
Year 5 PV (M)199,556.21209,194.85219,202.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,884,325.795,120,240.555,365,184.32
Equity Value (M)5,628,985.485,888,846.056,158,400.75
Shares Outstanding (M)95.3095.3095.30
Fair Value$59,069.05$61,795.96$64,624.59
Upside / Downside-38.79%-35.96%-33.03%

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