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Definitive Analysis

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Sung Kwang Bend Co.,Ltd. (014620.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21,201.71 - $42,632.90$29,525.16
Multi-Stage$46,540.43 - $51,254.78$48,851.71
Blended Fair Value$39,188.43
Current Price$32,800.00
Upside19.48%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.11%-0.24%157.75105.17105.17105.17105.1785.22105.17157.75157.75158.89
YoY Growth--50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%23.41%-18.97%-33.33%0.00%-0.71%-1.64%
Dividend Yield--0.65%0.94%0.85%1.20%1.28%1.67%0.95%1.37%1.50%1.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)33,908.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,311.47
(=) Cash Retained (M)28,596.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,781.604,238.502,543.10
Cash Retained (M)28,596.5528,596.5528,596.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,781.60-4,238.50-2,543.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)21,814.9424,358.0426,053.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.5626.5626.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share821.45917.22981.06
LTM Dividend per Share200.01200.01200.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share821.45917.22981.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,021.461,117.221,181.06
WACC / Discount Rate5.22%5.22%5.22%
Growth Rate0.39%1.39%2.39%
Fair Value$21,201.71$29,525.16$42,632.90
Upside / Downside-35.36%-9.98%29.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)33,908.0234,377.8634,854.2135,337.1635,826.8136,323.2337,412.93
Payout Ratio15.66%30.53%45.40%60.27%75.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,311.4710,496.0715,823.3321,296.2026,917.7132,690.9134,606.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.22%5.22%5.22%
Growth Rate0.39%1.39%2.39%
Year 1 PV (M)9,876.789,975.1610,073.55
Year 2 PV (M)14,011.1814,291.7214,575.04
Year 3 PV (M)17,744.6618,280.2518,826.52
Year 4 PV (M)21,105.3221,958.9422,838.19
Year 5 PV (M)24,119.5625,345.0826,619.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,149,093.551,207,479.211,268,214.39
Equity Value (M)1,235,951.041,297,330.361,361,147.60
Shares Outstanding (M)26.5626.5626.56
Fair Value$46,540.43$48,851.71$51,254.78
Upside / Downside41.89%48.94%56.26%

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