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Definitive Analysis

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Seobu T&D Co., Ltd. (006730.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel LodgingSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$117,670.14 - $214,698.77$201,204.19
Multi-Stage$33,711.40 - $36,917.96$35,285.14
Blended Fair Value$118,244.67
Current Price$9,820.00
Upside1,104.12%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%160.64183.30153.6246.150.000.000.0051.980.000.00
YoY Growth---12.36%19.32%232.85%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.92%2.40%2.18%0.52%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.61%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)68,213.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18,870.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)49,342.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13,642.708,526.695,116.01
Cash Retained (M)49,342.7749,342.7749,342.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-13,642.70-8,526.69-5,116.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)35,700.0740,816.0844,226.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)63.1963.1963.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share565.00645.97699.95
LTM Dividend per Share298.65298.65298.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share565.00645.97699.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend863.65944.62998.60
WACC / Discount Rate6.27%6.27%6.27%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$117,670.14$201,204.19$214,698.77
Upside / Downside1,098.27%1,948.92%2,086.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)68,213.4872,647.3677,369.4482,398.4587,754.3593,458.3896,262.14
Payout Ratio27.66%40.13%52.60%65.07%77.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18,870.7229,154.3840,695.1853,613.1268,038.4484,112.5589,042.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.27%6.27%6.27%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)27,175.5427,433.1327,690.72
Year 2 PV (M)35,358.3536,031.8236,711.66
Year 3 PV (M)43,420.4744,666.9145,936.99
Year 4 PV (M)51,363.2253,338.5155,370.23
Year 5 PV (M)59,187.9362,046.7365,014.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,913,583.032,006,009.812,101,973.97
Equity Value (M)2,130,088.552,229,526.922,332,698.51
Shares Outstanding (M)63.1963.1963.19
Fair Value$33,711.40$35,285.14$36,917.96
Upside / Downside243.29%259.32%275.95%

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