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Definitive Analysis

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Samchully Co.,Ltd (004690.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$455,698.69 - $875,876.09$623,933.94
Multi-Stage$721,679.83 - $793,604.99$756,950.91
Blended Fair Value$690,442.43
Current Price$124,400.00
Upside455.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.79%-0.40%3,000.023,000.023,000.023,000.023,122.143,122.143,122.142,601.792,601.792,081.43
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-3.91%0.00%0.00%20.00%0.00%25.00%-33.33%
Dividend Yield--3.48%3.23%0.58%2.83%3.98%4.65%3.29%2.29%2.43%1.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)99,768.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,272.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)89,496.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19,953.7112,471.077,482.64
Cash Retained (M)89,496.4689,496.4689,496.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-19,953.71-12,471.07-7,482.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)69,542.7577,025.3982,013.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.423.423.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share20,310.3822,495.7323,952.63
LTM Dividend per Share3,000.023,000.023,000.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share20,310.3822,495.7323,952.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend23,310.4125,495.7626,952.66
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate1.15%2.15%3.15%
Fair Value$455,698.69$623,933.94$875,876.09
Upside / Downside266.32%401.55%604.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)99,768.54101,914.43104,106.49106,345.69108,633.06110,969.62114,298.71
Payout Ratio10.30%26.24%42.18%58.12%74.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,272.0826,739.0143,909.5661,806.3780,452.7599,872.66105,726.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate1.15%2.15%3.15%
Year 1 PV (M)24,902.1725,148.3625,394.55
Year 2 PV (M)38,084.0338,840.7739,604.95
Year 3 PV (M)49,923.9651,419.3252,944.26
Year 4 PV (M)60,521.3562,950.3865,451.81
Year 5 PV (M)69,969.0973,496.8077,165.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,227,631.142,339,944.282,456,742.51
Equity Value (M)2,471,031.742,591,799.922,717,303.47
Shares Outstanding (M)3.423.423.42
Fair Value$721,679.83$756,950.91$793,604.99
Upside / Downside480.13%508.48%537.95%

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