Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Dynamic Holdings Limited (0029.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$57.03 - $73.10$65.63
Multi-Stage$101.49 - $113.11$107.17
Blended Fair Value$86.40
Current Price$13.12
Upside558.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-31.69%-14.18%0.010.010.020.010.060.070.050.050.050.05
YoY Growth--0.00%-33.31%50.02%-83.33%-10.77%29.09%0.03%0.66%12.09%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.08%0.13%0.14%0.10%0.43%0.57%0.64%0.69%0.70%1.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,291.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,286.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,058.27661.42396.85
Cash Retained (M)5,286.615,286.615,286.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,058.27-661.42-396.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,228.334,625.184,889.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)237.70237.70237.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share17.7919.4620.57
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share17.7919.4620.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend17.8119.4820.59
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-16.18%-15.18%-14.18%
Fair Value$57.03$65.63$73.10
Upside / Downside334.68%400.21%457.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,291.364,488.263,807.053,229.232,739.112,323.382,393.08
Payout Ratio0.09%18.07%36.05%54.04%72.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.76811.111,372.591,744.941,972.652,091.042,213.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-16.18%-15.18%-14.18%
Year 1 PV (M)728.70737.40746.09
Year 2 PV (M)1,107.841,134.431,161.34
Year 3 PV (M)1,265.281,311.101,358.02
Year 4 PV (M)1,285.061,347.491,412.16
Year 5 PV (M)1,223.781,298.541,376.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,514.7919,645.8620,831.55
Equity Value (M)24,125.4525,474.8226,886.07
Shares Outstanding (M)237.70237.70237.70
Fair Value$101.49$107.17$113.11
Upside / Downside673.58%716.85%762.10%

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