Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Fujian Nanping Sun Cable Co., Ltd. (002300.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.35 - $21.64$20.27
Multi-Stage$10.80 - $11.87$11.32
Blended Fair Value$15.80
Current Price$6.17
Upside156.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.74%3.83%0.240.090.130.200.190.190.140.160.130.18
YoY Growth--167.40%-28.57%-36.08%3.90%-0.61%42.57%-14.17%25.83%-28.57%5.00%
Dividend Yield--3.83%1.39%1.65%2.96%3.54%3.58%1.86%2.56%1.04%2.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)80.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)38.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)42.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.1310.086.05
Cash Retained (M)42.3742.3742.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.13-10.08-6.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)26.2432.2836.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)722.30722.30722.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.040.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.040.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.090.100.10
WACC / Discount Rate3.22%3.22%3.22%
Growth Rate2.74%3.74%4.74%
Fair Value$18.35$20.27$21.64
Upside / Downside197.49%228.54%250.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)80.6583.6786.8090.0593.4296.9299.82
Payout Ratio47.47%55.98%64.48%72.99%81.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)38.2846.8355.9765.7276.1387.2392.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate3.22%3.22%3.22%
Growth Rate2.74%3.74%4.74%
Year 1 PV (M)44.9345.3745.81
Year 2 PV (M)51.5252.5353.55
Year 3 PV (M)58.0559.7661.51
Year 4 PV (M)64.5167.0669.69
Year 5 PV (M)70.9274.4478.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,507.547,880.088,267.26
Equity Value (M)7,797.488,179.248,575.90
Shares Outstanding (M)722.30722.30722.30
Fair Value$10.80$11.32$11.87
Upside / Downside74.96%83.53%92.43%

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