Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Jiangsu Yuyue Medical Equipment & Supply Co., Ltd. (002223.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$91.48 - $347.14$266.48
Multi-Stage$43.54 - $47.61$45.54
Blended Fair Value$156.01
Current Price$39.01
Upside299.92%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS50.37%36.85%1.230.660.350.320.420.160.160.270.240.01
YoY Growth--85.36%88.30%10.02%-23.20%160.68%2.21%-42.68%13.05%2,228.46%-80.58%
Dividend Yield--3.52%1.94%1.11%1.15%1.59%0.44%0.59%1.11%1.13%0.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,740.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)807.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)932.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)348.03217.52130.51
Cash Retained (M)932.38932.38932.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-348.03-217.52-130.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)584.35714.86801.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)996.92996.92996.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.590.720.80
LTM Dividend per Share0.810.810.81
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.590.720.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.401.531.61
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$91.48$266.48$347.14
Upside / Downside134.51%583.10%789.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,740.151,853.261,973.722,102.012,238.652,384.162,455.68
Payout Ratio46.42%55.14%63.85%72.57%81.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)807.771,021.811,260.261,525.391,819.662,145.742,271.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)945.02953.98962.93
Year 2 PV (M)1,077.961,098.491,119.21
Year 3 PV (M)1,206.681,241.321,276.62
Year 4 PV (M)1,331.301,382.491,435.15
Year 5 PV (M)1,451.891,522.021,594.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)37,392.5139,198.5841,073.77
Equity Value (M)43,405.3545,396.8847,462.52
Shares Outstanding (M)996.92996.92996.92
Fair Value$43.54$45.54$47.61
Upside / Downside11.61%16.73%22.04%

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