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Definitive Analysis

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Hanyang Securities Co. Ltd. (001750.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$129,088.82 - $540,556.85$222,466.33
Multi-Stage$77,845.70 - $85,220.16$81,465.31
Blended Fair Value$151,965.82
Current Price$17,680.00
Upside759.54%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.74%11.69%787.19787.26933.35671.62364.10260.60364.10364.10415.85364.10
YoY Growth---0.01%-15.65%38.97%84.46%39.72%-28.43%0.00%-12.44%14.21%39.72%
Dividend Yield--6.74%7.40%10.48%4.70%3.22%4.89%5.33%4.75%5.62%4.79%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)54,292.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)54,292.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10,858.566,786.604,071.96
Cash Retained (M)54,292.1154,292.1154,292.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-10,858.56-6,786.60-4,071.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)43,433.5547,505.5150,220.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.7612.7612.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share3,405.223,724.463,937.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share3,405.223,724.463,937.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,405.273,724.523,937.35
WACC / Discount Rate8.28%8.28%8.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$129,088.82$222,466.33$540,556.85
Upside / Downside630.14%1,158.29%2,957.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)54,292.8257,821.8561,580.2765,582.9969,845.8874,385.8676,617.44
Payout Ratio0.00%18.00%36.00%54.00%72.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.7010,408.5322,169.3835,415.1550,289.2266,947.2870,871.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.28%8.28%8.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)9,522.089,612.349,702.60
Year 2 PV (M)18,554.0418,907.4419,264.18
Year 3 PV (M)27,115.4427,893.8328,686.97
Year 4 PV (M)35,224.5036,579.1437,972.48
Year 5 PV (M)42,898.8344,970.8647,122.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)859,607.05901,126.39944,234.78
Equity Value (M)992,921.951,039,090.001,086,983.19
Shares Outstanding (M)12.7612.7612.76
Fair Value$77,845.70$81,465.31$85,220.16
Upside / Downside340.30%360.78%382.01%

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