Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Innuovo Technology Co., Ltd. (000795.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.01 - $43.80$29.84
Multi-Stage$5.45 - $5.96$5.70
Blended Fair Value$17.77
Current Price$10.73
Upside65.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS33.07%-4.84%0.040.120.020.010.030.010.000.000.010.03
YoY Growth---64.80%436.59%118.68%-65.33%191.40%124.14%37.22%-68.08%-63.55%-59.23%
Dividend Yield--0.40%2.08%0.33%0.15%0.56%0.20%0.09%0.06%0.15%0.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)241.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)149.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)92.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)48.3930.2418.14
Cash Retained (M)92.4092.4092.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-48.39-30.24-18.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)44.0162.1674.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,098.591,098.591,098.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.060.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.060.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.180.190.20
WACC / Discount Rate7.19%7.19%7.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$11.01$29.84$43.80
Upside / Downside2.63%178.07%308.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)241.93257.66274.40292.24311.23331.46341.41
Payout Ratio61.81%67.45%73.09%78.72%84.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)149.53173.78200.55230.06262.56298.32315.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.19%7.19%7.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)160.60162.13163.65
Year 2 PV (M)171.29174.55177.85
Year 3 PV (M)181.60186.81192.12
Year 4 PV (M)191.54198.91206.48
Year 5 PV (M)201.13210.84220.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,084.135,329.705,584.66
Equity Value (M)5,990.296,262.936,545.69
Shares Outstanding (M)1,098.591,098.591,098.59
Fair Value$5.45$5.70$5.96
Upside / Downside-49.18%-46.87%-44.47%

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