Definitive Analysis
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Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation (ZWS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Pollution & Treatment ControlsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23.67 - $55.48$34.79
Multi-Stage$16.97 - $18.52$17.73
Blended Fair Value$26.26
Current Price$46.89
Upside-44.00%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020202019201820172016
DPS42.01%0.00%0.330.290.190.210.170.060.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--12.30%55.08%-10.71%26.39%193.88%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.00%0.89%0.89%0.60%0.74%0.41%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)193.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)59.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)134.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)38.6624.1614.50
Cash Retained (M)134.10134.10134.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-38.66-24.16-14.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)95.44109.94119.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)171.35171.35171.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.560.640.70
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.560.640.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.900.991.04
WACC / Discount Rate9.52%9.52%9.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$23.67$34.79$55.48
Upside / Downside-49.52%-25.81%18.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)193.30205.86219.25233.50248.67264.84272.78
Payout Ratio30.63%42.50%54.38%66.25%78.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)59.2087.49119.22154.69194.28238.35252.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.52%9.52%9.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)79.1479.8980.64
Year 2 PV (M)97.5399.39101.26
Year 3 PV (M)114.47117.75121.10
Year 4 PV (M)130.02135.03140.17
Year 5 PV (M)144.29151.26158.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,341.962,455.082,572.53
Equity Value (M)2,907.413,038.393,174.19
Shares Outstanding (M)171.35171.35171.35
Fair Value$16.97$17.73$18.52
Upside / Downside-63.81%-62.18%-60.49%

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