Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Wallenstam AB (publ) (WALL-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$25.34 - $38.58$31.55
Multi-Stage$55.59 - $61.28$58.38
Blended Fair Value$44.96
Current Price$43.66
Upside2.99%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-11.79%-0.27%0.500.610.610.600.250.940.900.860.760.58
YoY Growth---16.96%-0.25%1.02%141.98%-73.62%5.32%4.86%11.87%32.18%11.57%
Dividend Yield--1.17%1.20%1.55%0.88%0.42%1.67%1.90%2.26%2.12%1.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,874.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)326.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,548.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)374.80234.25140.55
Cash Retained (M)1,548.001,548.001,548.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-374.80-234.25-140.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,173.201,313.751,407.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)650.16650.16650.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.802.022.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.802.022.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.312.522.67
WACC / Discount Rate6.62%6.62%6.62%
Growth Rate-2.27%-1.27%-0.27%
Fair Value$25.34$31.55$38.58
Upside / Downside-41.95%-27.74%-11.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,874.001,850.191,826.691,803.491,780.581,757.961,810.69
Payout Ratio17.40%31.92%46.44%60.96%75.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)326.00590.52848.271,099.381,343.961,582.161,674.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.62%6.62%6.62%
Growth Rate-2.27%-1.27%-0.27%
Year 1 PV (M)548.24553.85559.46
Year 2 PV (M)731.14746.18761.37
Year 3 PV (M)879.72907.00934.84
Year 4 PV (M)998.431,039.931,082.70
Year 5 PV (M)1,091.221,148.201,207.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)31,894.4433,559.9535,294.32
Equity Value (M)36,143.1937,955.1039,840.23
Shares Outstanding (M)650.16650.16650.16
Fair Value$55.59$58.38$61.28
Upside / Downside27.33%33.71%40.35%

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