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Definitive Analysis

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Summerset Group Holdings Limited (SNZ.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$207.43 - $649.15$608.35
Multi-Stage$85.30 - $93.43$89.29
Blended Fair Value$348.82
Current Price$11.26
Upside2,997.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.41%12.83%0.140.150.120.100.080.080.080.080.060.04
YoY Growth---2.18%21.74%18.78%22.30%-0.79%9.92%-10.46%51.59%52.76%-14.55%
Dividend Yield--1.07%1.42%1.34%0.74%0.65%0.92%1.20%1.62%1.14%0.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)770.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)68.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)701.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)154.0596.2857.77
Cash Retained (M)701.64701.64701.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-154.05-96.28-57.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)547.59605.36643.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)235.98235.98235.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.322.572.73
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.322.572.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.612.863.02
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$207.43$608.35$649.15
Upside / Downside1,742.17%5,302.77%5,665.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)770.27820.34873.66930.45990.931,055.341,087.00
Payout Ratio8.91%25.13%41.35%57.56%73.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)68.63206.14361.23535.61731.13949.811,005.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)191.15192.96194.77
Year 2 PV (M)310.61316.52322.50
Year 3 PV (M)427.07439.33451.82
Year 4 PV (M)540.58561.37582.76
Year 5 PV (M)651.21682.66715.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,008.2218,878.0319,781.12
Equity Value (M)20,128.8421,070.8822,048.29
Shares Outstanding (M)235.98235.98235.98
Fair Value$85.30$89.29$93.43
Upside / Downside657.54%692.99%729.77%

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