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Definitive Analysis

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Suny Cellular Communication Ltd (SNCM.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.44 - $2.11$1.76
Multi-Stage$2.70 - $2.95$2.82
Blended Fair Value$2.29
Current Price$1.47
Upside56.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.090.410.230.090.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---77.73%79.60%150.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.57%38.08%20.44%6.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)40.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)32.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)8.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.155.103.06
Cash Retained (M)8.778.778.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.15-5.10-3.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.623.675.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)218.36218.36218.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.020.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.020.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.150.160.17
WACC / Discount Rate8.17%8.17%8.17%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.44$1.76$2.11
Upside / Downside-2.08%20.00%43.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)40.7740.3639.9639.5639.1638.7739.94
Payout Ratio78.49%80.79%83.09%85.40%87.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)32.0032.6133.2033.7834.3534.8936.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.17%8.17%8.17%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)29.8430.1530.45
Year 2 PV (M)27.8128.3828.95
Year 3 PV (M)25.8926.6927.51
Year 4 PV (M)24.0925.0926.12
Year 5 PV (M)22.4023.5624.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)458.68482.56507.43
Equity Value (M)588.70616.43645.24
Shares Outstanding (M)218.36218.36218.36
Fair Value$2.70$2.82$2.95
Upside / Downside83.40%92.04%101.02%

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