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Definitive Analysis

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Sella Capital Real Estate Ltd. (SLARL.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$110.85 - $256.21$240.11
Multi-Stage$38.13 - $41.72$39.89
Blended Fair Value$140.00
Current Price$10.95
Upside1,178.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.93%13.91%0.550.530.500.450.400.360.320.260.230.19
YoY Growth--4.49%6.02%9.89%13.40%11.09%11.56%23.12%15.75%21.20%24.43%
Dividend Yield--6.61%6.83%6.87%4.22%5.34%5.00%4.97%3.84%3.51%3.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)288.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)125.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)163.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)57.7636.1021.66
Cash Retained (M)163.51163.51163.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-57.76-36.10-21.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)105.75127.41141.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)224.17224.17224.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.470.570.63
LTM Dividend per Share0.560.560.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.470.570.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.031.131.19
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$110.85$240.11$256.21
Upside / Downside912.31%2,092.74%2,239.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)288.80307.57327.56348.86371.53395.68407.55
Payout Ratio43.38%52.71%62.03%71.35%80.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)125.29162.11203.19248.92299.74356.11376.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)150.81152.24153.67
Year 2 PV (M)175.86179.21182.59
Year 3 PV (M)200.42206.18212.04
Year 4 PV (M)224.53233.16242.04
Year 5 PV (M)248.17260.15272.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,547.237,911.768,290.25
Equity Value (M)8,547.018,942.709,353.19
Shares Outstanding (M)224.17224.17224.17
Fair Value$38.13$39.89$41.72
Upside / Downside248.19%264.31%281.03%

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