Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sarkuysan Elektrolitik Bakir Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (SARKY.IS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: CopperSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$39.91 - $120.99$113.39
Multi-Stage$16.62 - $18.17$17.38
Blended Fair Value$65.38
Current Price$15.01
Upside335.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS47.43%33.44%0.390.190.110.080.020.060.040.020.020.01
YoY Growth--109.93%66.61%33.17%289.75%-61.63%48.97%116.01%-13.93%36.58%-32.08%
Dividend Yield--3.26%1.25%0.92%1.45%0.54%5.80%5.90%2.48%4.29%3.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)608.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)327.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)281.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)121.6876.0545.63
Cash Retained (M)281.20281.20281.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-121.68-76.05-45.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)159.52205.15235.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,000.001,000.001,000.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.210.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.210.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.490.530.56
WACC / Discount Rate6.79%6.79%6.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$39.91$113.39$120.99
Upside / Downside165.88%655.42%706.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)608.39647.93690.05734.90782.67833.54858.55
Payout Ratio53.78%61.02%68.27%75.51%82.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)327.19395.39471.08554.94647.71750.19794.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.79%6.79%6.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)366.79370.27373.74
Year 2 PV (M)405.39413.11420.90
Year 3 PV (M)443.00455.72468.67
Year 4 PV (M)479.65498.09517.07
Year 5 PV (M)515.35540.24566.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,407.2715,103.1515,825.65
Equity Value (M)16,617.4417,380.5718,172.12
Shares Outstanding (M)1,000.001,000.001,000.00
Fair Value$16.62$17.38$18.17
Upside / Downside10.71%15.79%21.07%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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