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Definitive Analysis

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Rentokil Initial plc (RTO.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.12 - $46.96$42.44
Multi-Stage$6.12 - $6.69$6.40
Blended Fair Value$24.42
Current Price$3.52
Upside593.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.69%18.15%0.090.080.050.050.000.030.030.030.020.02
YoY Growth--13.93%64.75%-12.04%0.00%-100.00%15.63%15.40%15.86%13.50%13.19%
Dividend Yield--2.26%1.84%0.95%0.94%0.00%0.75%0.87%0.83%0.99%1.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)597.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)398.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)199.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)119.4074.6344.78
Cash Retained (M)199.00199.00199.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-119.40-74.63-44.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)79.60124.38154.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,528.122,528.122,528.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.190.210.22
WACC / Discount Rate7.02%7.02%7.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$13.12$42.44$46.96
Upside / Downside272.86%1,105.63%1,234.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)597.00635.81677.13721.15768.02817.94842.48
Payout Ratio66.67%71.33%76.00%80.67%85.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)398.00453.54514.62581.72655.38736.15779.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.02%7.02%7.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)419.82423.80427.78
Year 2 PV (M)440.94449.33457.81
Year 3 PV (M)461.37474.61488.11
Year 4 PV (M)481.13499.64518.67
Year 5 PV (M)500.25524.41549.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,178.1013,814.6114,475.47
Equity Value (M)15,481.6016,186.4016,917.33
Shares Outstanding (M)2,528.122,528.122,528.12
Fair Value$6.12$6.40$6.69
Upside / Downside73.97%81.89%90.10%

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