Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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RS Group plc (RS1.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - DistributionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.84 - $62.13$30.65
Multi-Stage$12.72 - $13.88$13.29
Blended Fair Value$21.97
Current Price$5.69
Upside286.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.86%7.33%0.220.220.190.160.150.150.130.120.110.11
YoY Growth--0.58%17.49%16.27%7.02%3.94%16.30%6.32%7.16%0.19%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.96%3.11%2.06%1.49%1.52%2.82%2.17%1.96%2.32%4.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)327.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)209.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)118.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)65.4240.8924.53
Cash Retained (M)118.00118.00118.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-65.42-40.89-24.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)52.5877.1193.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)471.03471.03471.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.160.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.440.440.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.160.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.560.610.64
WACC / Discount Rate8.61%8.61%8.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$18.84$30.65$62.13
Upside / Downside231.06%438.65%991.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)327.10348.36371.00395.12420.80448.16461.60
Payout Ratio63.93%69.14%74.36%79.57%84.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)209.10240.86275.86314.40356.78403.34426.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.61%8.61%8.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)219.68221.76223.84
Year 2 PV (M)229.48233.85238.26
Year 3 PV (M)238.54245.39252.37
Year 4 PV (M)246.89256.39266.15
Year 5 PV (M)254.57266.87279.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,802.575,034.545,275.38
Equity Value (M)5,991.746,258.806,535.64
Shares Outstanding (M)471.03471.03471.03
Fair Value$12.72$13.29$13.88
Upside / Downside123.56%133.52%143.85%

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