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Definitive Analysis

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Rothschild & Co SCA (ROTH.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$347.28 - $1,123.78$1,053.14
Multi-Stage$146.35 - $160.27$153.19
Blended Fair Value$603.17
Current Price$46.55
Upside1,195.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS35.39%0.00%2.761.770.040.790.720.610.580.471.260.00
YoY Growth--56.01%4,862.06%-95.50%10.34%18.27%5.59%21.32%-62.23%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.40%4.39%0.14%3.10%2.51%1.90%2.68%1.66%7.30%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)410.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)56.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)354.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)82.1651.3530.81
Cash Retained (M)354.49354.49354.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-82.16-51.35-30.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)272.33303.14323.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)72.7072.7072.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.754.174.45
LTM Dividend per Share0.770.770.77
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.754.174.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.524.945.23
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$347.28$1,053.14$1,123.78
Upside / Downside646.04%2,162.39%2,314.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)410.80437.50465.94496.22528.48562.83579.71
Payout Ratio13.71%28.97%44.22%59.48%74.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)56.31126.73206.06295.17394.99506.55536.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)117.46118.58119.69
Year 2 PV (M)177.04180.41183.81
Year 3 PV (M)235.06241.80248.68
Year 4 PV (M)291.56302.77314.30
Year 5 PV (M)346.57363.31380.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,472.079,929.5710,404.59
Equity Value (M)10,639.7511,136.4411,651.76
Shares Outstanding (M)72.7072.7072.70
Fair Value$146.35$153.19$160.27
Upside / Downside214.40%229.08%244.31%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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