Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Localiza Rent a Car S.A. (RENT3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$87.47 - $331.50$255.33
Multi-Stage$42.25 - $46.17$44.18
Blended Fair Value$149.75
Current Price$39.45
Upside279.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS182.27%42.08%1.221.260.590.020.250.010.160.160.000.04
YoY Growth---3.55%112.61%3,381.91%-93.26%3,625.76%-95.81%3.26%15,914.01%-97.67%15.66%
Dividend Yield--3.62%2.40%1.12%0.03%0.43%0.03%0.52%0.58%0.01%0.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,773.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,182.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)591.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)354.72221.70133.02
Cash Retained (M)591.12591.12591.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-354.72-221.70-133.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)236.40369.42458.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,064.021,064.021,064.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.220.350.43
LTM Dividend per Share1.111.111.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.220.350.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.331.461.54
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$87.47$255.33$331.50
Upside / Downside121.73%547.22%740.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,773.611,888.902,011.682,142.442,281.692,430.002,502.91
Payout Ratio66.67%71.34%76.00%80.67%85.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,182.491,347.491,528.931,728.271,947.072,187.002,315.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,246.251,258.061,269.87
Year 2 PV (M)1,307.821,332.731,357.87
Year 3 PV (M)1,367.261,406.511,446.50
Year 4 PV (M)1,424.621,479.411,535.76
Year 5 PV (M)1,479.951,551.431,625.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)38,134.1439,976.0441,888.42
Equity Value (M)44,960.0347,004.1749,124.08
Shares Outstanding (M)1,064.021,064.021,064.02
Fair Value$42.25$44.18$46.17
Upside / Downside7.11%11.98%17.03%

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