Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Neto Malinda Trading Ltd. (NTML.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$213.25 - $452.42$302.76
Multi-Stage$163.85 - $178.61$171.10
Blended Fair Value$236.93
Current Price$138.50
Upside71.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.95%0.00%2.400.000.000.510.004.790.004.790.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.43%0.00%0.00%0.32%0.00%8.84%0.00%8.30%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)225.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)113.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)111.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)45.0128.1316.88
Cash Retained (M)111.29111.29111.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-45.01-28.13-16.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)66.2883.1594.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.7919.7919.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.354.204.77
LTM Dividend per Share5.755.755.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.354.204.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.109.9510.52
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate5.43%6.43%7.43%
Fair Value$213.25$302.76$452.42
Upside / Downside53.97%118.60%226.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)225.05239.52254.92271.31288.76307.33316.55
Payout Ratio50.55%58.44%66.33%74.22%82.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)113.76139.97169.09201.37237.10276.60292.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate5.43%6.43%7.43%
Year 1 PV (M)126.14127.33128.53
Year 2 PV (M)137.31139.92142.57
Year 3 PV (M)147.35151.59155.90
Year 4 PV (M)156.35162.36168.55
Year 5 PV (M)164.36172.30180.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,511.172,632.542,758.56
Equity Value (M)3,242.673,386.053,534.65
Shares Outstanding (M)19.7919.7919.79
Fair Value$163.85$171.10$178.61
Upside / Downside18.31%23.54%28.96%

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