Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Novotek AB (NTEK-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$433.90 - $1,354.60$1,269.46
Multi-Stage$180.49 - $197.56$188.87
Blended Fair Value$729.16
Current Price$79.40
Upside818.34%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.72%5.14%1.651.501.502.250.001.251.251.251.001.00
YoY Growth--10.06%0.00%-33.33%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%25.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.17%2.31%2.70%3.66%0.00%4.86%3.69%4.39%4.03%5.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)72.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)53.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.449.035.42
Cash Retained (M)53.1053.1053.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.44-9.03-5.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)38.6644.0847.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.6010.6010.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.654.164.50
LTM Dividend per Share1.801.801.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.654.164.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.455.966.30
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$433.90$1,269.46$1,354.60
Upside / Downside446.47%1,498.82%1,606.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)72.2076.8981.8987.2192.8898.92101.89
Payout Ratio26.45%39.16%51.87%64.58%77.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.1030.1142.4856.3271.7989.0394.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)27.9328.1928.45
Year 2 PV (M)36.5337.2237.93
Year 3 PV (M)44.9146.2047.52
Year 4 PV (M)53.0955.1357.23
Year 5 PV (M)61.0564.0067.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,689.651,771.261,855.99
Equity Value (M)1,913.152,002.002,094.18
Shares Outstanding (M)10.6010.6010.60
Fair Value$180.49$188.87$197.56
Upside / Downside127.31%137.87%148.82%

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