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Definitive Analysis

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Nagarro SE (NA9.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$33.40 - $50.95$41.62
Multi-Stage$69.93 - $77.02$73.40
Blended Fair Value$57.51
Current Price$51.70
Upside11.24%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)48.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)36.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.766.103.66
Cash Retained (M)36.1736.1736.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.76-6.10-3.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)26.4130.0732.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.9812.9812.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.042.322.51
LTM Dividend per Share0.970.970.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.042.322.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.013.293.48
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$33.40$41.62$50.95
Upside / Downside-35.40%-19.50%-1.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)48.7948.3047.8247.3446.8746.4047.79
Payout Ratio25.87%38.70%51.52%64.35%77.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.6218.6924.6430.4636.1741.7644.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)17.3217.5017.67
Year 2 PV (M)21.1621.5922.03
Year 3 PV (M)24.2424.9925.75
Year 4 PV (M)26.6727.7728.91
Year 5 PV (M)28.5330.0231.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)789.55830.66873.47
Equity Value (M)907.46952.53999.40
Shares Outstanding (M)12.9812.9812.98
Fair Value$69.93$73.40$77.02
Upside / Downside35.26%41.98%48.97%

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