Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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LU-VE S.p.A. (LUVE.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.20 - $53.35$37.52
Multi-Stage$20.76 - $22.64$21.68
Blended Fair Value$29.60
Current Price$34.35
Upside-13.82%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.99%19.47%0.400.410.350.270.270.250.240.200.170.20
YoY Growth---2.90%17.70%29.62%0.00%8.64%4.82%19.23%13.93%-13.87%200.00%
Dividend Yield--1.42%1.81%1.09%1.38%1.81%2.38%2.03%1.98%1.26%2.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)35.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)25.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.174.482.69
Cash Retained (M)25.6625.6625.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.17-4.48-2.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)18.4921.1822.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.2122.2122.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.830.951.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.460.460.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.830.951.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.291.411.49
WACC / Discount Rate10.51%10.51%10.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$27.20$37.52$53.35
Upside / Downside-20.83%9.23%55.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)35.8338.1540.6343.2746.0949.0850.56
Payout Ratio28.39%40.71%53.03%65.36%77.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.1715.5321.5528.2835.8044.1846.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.51%10.51%10.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)13.9214.0614.19
Year 2 PV (M)17.3217.6517.98
Year 3 PV (M)20.3720.9621.55
Year 4 PV (M)23.1224.0124.92
Year 5 PV (M)25.5726.8128.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)360.60378.02396.10
Equity Value (M)460.90481.49502.83
Shares Outstanding (M)22.2122.2122.21
Fair Value$20.76$21.68$22.64
Upside / Downside-39.58%-36.88%-34.08%

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