Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Lachish Industries Ltd (LHIS.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$63.97 - $141.11$92.08
Multi-Stage$47.02 - $51.31$49.13
Blended Fair Value$70.61
Current Price$16.99
Upside315.57%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS38.53%10.46%0.640.530.200.240.240.130.110.000.000.28
YoY Growth--21.34%166.22%-18.81%1.09%92.38%9.38%0.00%0.00%-100.00%20.00%
Dividend Yield--3.16%2.15%1.67%3.38%4.02%3.58%2.62%0.00%0.00%4.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)27.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)18.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.443.402.04
Cash Retained (M)18.0218.0218.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.44-3.40-2.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)12.5714.6115.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.368.368.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.501.751.91
LTM Dividend per Share1.101.101.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.501.751.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.602.853.01
WACC / Discount Rate9.79%9.79%9.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$63.97$92.08$141.11
Upside / Downside276.54%441.99%730.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)27.2128.9830.8632.8735.0037.2838.40
Payout Ratio33.79%45.03%56.27%67.52%78.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.1913.0517.3722.1927.5733.5535.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.79%9.79%9.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)11.7711.8912.00
Year 2 PV (M)14.1414.4114.68
Year 3 PV (M)16.3016.7717.24
Year 4 PV (M)18.2718.9719.70
Year 5 PV (M)20.0621.0322.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)312.63327.73343.41
Equity Value (M)393.18410.80429.06
Shares Outstanding (M)8.368.368.36
Fair Value$47.02$49.13$51.31
Upside / Downside176.75%189.15%202.01%

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