Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Lassonde Industries Inc. (LAS-A.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - Non-AlcoholicSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,374.69 - $3,580.19$3,355.16
Multi-Stage$506.79 - $554.91$530.41
Blended Fair Value$1,942.78
Current Price$211.89
Upside816.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.65%9.40%4.002.203.003.342.592.643.112.401.991.67
YoY Growth--81.87%-26.80%-10.15%29.27%-2.08%-15.16%29.89%20.62%19.03%2.53%
Dividend Yield--1.90%1.40%2.88%2.34%1.50%1.77%1.79%0.91%0.86%1.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)122.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)93.48
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24.5615.359.21
Cash Retained (M)93.4893.4893.48
(-) Cash Required (M)-24.56-15.35-9.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)68.9278.1384.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.826.826.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.1011.4512.35
LTM Dividend per Share4.304.304.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.1011.4512.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend14.4015.7516.65
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,374.69$3,355.16$3,580.19
Upside / Downside548.78%1,483.44%1,589.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)122.81130.79139.30148.35157.99168.26173.31
Payout Ratio23.88%37.11%50.33%63.55%76.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29.3348.5370.1194.28121.30151.44160.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)45.1045.5345.95
Year 2 PV (M)60.5461.6962.85
Year 3 PV (M)75.6577.8280.03
Year 4 PV (M)90.4493.9297.50
Year 5 PV (M)104.92109.99115.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,080.703,229.503,384.00
Equity Value (M)3,457.353,618.443,785.58
Shares Outstanding (M)6.826.826.82
Fair Value$506.79$530.41$554.91
Upside / Downside139.18%150.32%161.88%

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