Definitive Analysis
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Khonburi Sugar Power Plant Infrastructure Fund (KBSPIF.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - IndustrialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.24 - $17.27$14.05
Multi-Stage$24.19 - $26.66$25.40
Blended Fair Value$19.73
Current Price$7.40
Upside166.57%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.900.880.911.080.240.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--2.51%-3.41%-15.77%340.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--12.15%10.32%9.13%9.80%2.46%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)346.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)68.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)277.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)69.2843.3025.98
Cash Retained (M)277.53277.53277.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-69.28-43.30-25.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)208.24234.22251.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)280.00280.00280.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.740.840.90
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.740.840.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.991.081.14
WACC / Discount Rate6.63%6.63%6.63%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$11.24$14.05$17.27
Upside / Downside51.93%89.87%133.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)346.41342.94339.51336.12332.76329.43339.31
Payout Ratio19.88%33.91%47.93%61.95%75.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)68.88116.28162.73208.24252.82296.48313.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.63%6.63%6.63%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)107.95109.05110.16
Year 2 PV (M)140.25143.13146.04
Year 3 PV (M)166.62171.77177.03
Year 4 PV (M)187.80195.58203.61
Year 5 PV (M)204.46215.11226.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,967.136,277.856,601.38
Equity Value (M)6,774.227,112.507,464.41
Shares Outstanding (M)280.00280.00280.00
Fair Value$24.19$25.40$26.66
Upside / Downside226.94%243.27%260.25%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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