Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Public Joint-Stock Company "Human Stem Cells Institute" (ISKJ.ME)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$51.58 - $171.90$84.15
Multi-Stage$35.66 - $38.85$37.22
Blended Fair Value$60.69
Current Price$78.16
Upside-22.36%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%1.691.250.000.000.000.000.000.000.260.00
YoY Growth--34.98%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.84%1.13%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.77%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)157.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)140.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31.4619.6611.80
Cash Retained (M)16.6116.6116.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-31.46-19.66-11.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)-14.85-3.054.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)83.2083.2083.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.18-0.040.06
LTM Dividend per Share1.691.691.69
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.18-0.040.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.511.651.75
WACC / Discount Rate8.59%8.59%8.59%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$51.58$84.15$171.90
Upside / Downside-34.01%7.66%119.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)157.30167.52178.41190.01202.36215.51221.97
Payout Ratio89.44%89.55%89.66%89.78%89.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)140.69150.02159.97170.58181.89193.96205.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.59%8.59%8.59%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)136.85138.15139.45
Year 2 PV (M)133.12135.65138.21
Year 3 PV (M)129.49133.20136.99
Year 4 PV (M)125.95130.80135.78
Year 5 PV (M)122.52128.44134.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,318.702,430.692,546.97
Equity Value (M)2,966.633,096.933,231.98
Shares Outstanding (M)83.2083.2083.20
Fair Value$35.66$37.22$38.85
Upside / Downside-54.38%-52.38%-50.30%

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