Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Iguatemi S.A. (IGTI11.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.67 - $27.15$16.11
Multi-Stage$7.48 - $8.17$7.82
Blended Fair Value$11.96
Current Price$24.48
Upside-51.12%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.40%14.70%0.160.090.070.010.060.090.080.060.020.02
YoY Growth--81.82%22.25%801.42%-86.47%-33.85%16.16%31.27%155.06%-3.38%-41.54%
Dividend Yield--0.88%0.39%0.38%0.04%0.29%0.43%0.37%0.28%0.11%0.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)578.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)199.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)378.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)115.7272.3343.40
Cash Retained (M)378.87378.87378.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-115.72-72.33-43.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)263.15306.54335.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,228.571,228.571,228.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.250.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.250.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.380.410.44
WACC / Discount Rate9.22%9.22%9.22%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$10.67$16.11$27.15
Upside / Downside-56.41%-34.20%10.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)578.61616.22656.27698.93744.36792.74816.52
Payout Ratio34.52%45.62%56.71%67.81%78.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)199.74281.10372.19473.93587.33713.47755.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.22%9.22%9.22%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)254.94257.36259.77
Year 2 PV (M)306.14311.97317.86
Year 3 PV (M)353.56363.71374.05
Year 4 PV (M)397.38412.67428.38
Year 5 PV (M)437.81458.95480.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,445.657,805.288,178.67
Equity Value (M)9,195.499,609.9410,039.65
Shares Outstanding (M)1,228.571,228.571,228.57
Fair Value$7.48$7.82$8.17
Upside / Downside-69.43%-68.05%-66.62%

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