Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Generation Development Group Limited (GDG.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.30 - $14.35$11.64
Multi-Stage$10.92 - $11.98$11.44
Blended Fair Value$11.54
Current Price$5.50
Upside109.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS29.45%16.48%0.040.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.01
YoY Growth--158.49%-1.01%7.87%14.37%15.15%0.48%0.73%20.06%0.00%4.08%
Dividend Yield--0.68%0.61%1.17%1.10%1.40%1.65%2.00%0.90%1.33%1.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)235.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)226.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)47.1129.4417.67
Cash Retained (M)226.63226.63226.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-47.11-29.44-17.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)179.52197.18208.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)243.05243.05243.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.740.810.86
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.740.810.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.780.850.90
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate1.49%2.49%3.49%
Fair Value$9.30$11.64$14.35
Upside / Downside69.04%111.72%160.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)235.56241.42247.42253.58259.89266.35274.34
Payout Ratio3.79%21.03%38.27%55.52%72.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.9350.7894.70140.78189.09239.72253.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate1.49%2.49%3.49%
Year 1 PV (M)45.7346.1846.63
Year 2 PV (M)76.8178.3379.87
Year 3 PV (M)102.84105.91109.04
Year 4 PV (M)124.40129.38134.50
Year 5 PV (M)142.04149.17156.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,162.972,271.662,384.67
Equity Value (M)2,654.792,780.632,911.30
Shares Outstanding (M)243.05243.05243.05
Fair Value$10.92$11.44$11.98
Upside / Downside98.60%108.01%117.79%

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