Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Finning International Inc. (FTT.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - DistributionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$117.66 - $316.44$180.69
Multi-Stage$131.05 - $143.81$137.31
Blended Fair Value$159.00
Current Price$64.65
Upside145.94%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.57%2.50%1.121.091.071.030.990.990.990.930.910.92
YoY Growth--3.42%1.39%3.60%4.51%0.00%0.00%6.40%1.63%-0.81%5.10%
Dividend Yield--2.77%2.72%3.18%2.75%3.09%6.55%4.09%3.04%3.68%4.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)684.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)155.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)529.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)136.8085.5051.30
Cash Retained (M)529.00529.00529.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-136.80-85.50-51.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)392.20443.50477.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)134.46134.46134.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.923.303.55
LTM Dividend per Share1.151.151.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.923.303.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.074.454.71
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate2.94%3.94%4.94%
Fair Value$117.66$180.69$316.44
Upside / Downside82.00%179.49%389.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)684.00710.96738.98768.11798.38829.85854.75
Payout Ratio22.66%36.13%49.60%63.06%76.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)155.00256.86366.51484.40611.02746.87790.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate2.94%3.94%4.94%
Year 1 PV (M)238.86241.18243.50
Year 2 PV (M)316.94323.12329.37
Year 3 PV (M)389.53400.99412.68
Year 4 PV (M)456.91474.93493.47
Year 5 PV (M)519.35545.07571.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,699.7716,477.2917,285.31
Equity Value (M)17,621.3618,462.5819,336.13
Shares Outstanding (M)134.46134.46134.46
Fair Value$131.05$137.31$143.81
Upside / Downside102.71%112.39%122.44%

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