Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Exor N.V. (EXO.AS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$169.54 - $216.53$194.77
Multi-Stage$443.58 - $498.62$470.44
Blended Fair Value$332.61
Current Price$85.60
Upside288.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-48.04%3.24%0.463.302.772.100.4612.071.301.340.380.36
YoY Growth---86.17%19.13%32.09%355.00%-96.18%830.60%-3.44%254.88%5.13%8.33%
Dividend Yield--0.52%3.65%4.06%3.18%0.70%18.25%1.96%2.03%0.57%0.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16,084.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)219.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)15,865.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,216.802,010.501,206.30
Cash Retained (M)15,865.0015,865.0015,865.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,216.80-2,010.50-1,206.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)12,648.2013,854.5014,658.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)216.67216.67216.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share58.3863.9467.66
LTM Dividend per Share1.011.011.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share58.3863.9467.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend59.3964.9568.67
WACC / Discount Rate7.25%7.25%7.25%
Growth Rate-20.57%-19.57%-18.57%
Fair Value$169.54$194.77$216.53
Upside / Downside98.06%127.54%152.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16,084.0012,936.2010,404.458,368.196,730.455,413.235,575.63
Payout Ratio1.36%19.09%36.82%54.54%72.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)219.002,469.433,830.604,564.404,864.254,871.915,157.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.25%7.25%7.25%
Growth Rate-20.57%-19.57%-18.57%
Year 1 PV (M)2,273.842,302.472,331.10
Year 2 PV (M)3,247.843,330.133,413.46
Year 3 PV (M)3,563.493,699.783,839.50
Year 4 PV (M)3,496.803,676.263,862.53
Year 5 PV (M)3,224.913,433.103,651.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)80,302.9185,486.8290,935.05
Equity Value (M)96,109.80101,928.55108,033.53
Shares Outstanding (M)216.67216.67216.67
Fair Value$443.58$470.44$498.62
Upside / Downside418.21%449.58%482.50%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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