Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Even Construtora e Incorporadora S.A. (EVEN3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.21 - $6.57$5.30
Multi-Stage$10.00 - $11.02$10.50
Blended Fair Value$7.90
Current Price$7.85
Upside0.62%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%13.07%0.560.200.000.420.070.000.000.000.090.15
YoY Growth--183.38%0.00%-100.00%487.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-37.71%-10.77%
Dividend Yield--9.32%2.66%0.00%7.97%0.92%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.68%4.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)178.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)79.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)99.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35.7722.3613.42
Cash Retained (M)99.3399.3399.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-35.77-22.36-13.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)63.5576.9785.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)406.54406.54406.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.190.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.190.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.350.380.41
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.21$5.30$6.57
Upside / Downside-46.38%-32.52%-16.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)178.87177.08175.31173.55171.82170.10175.20
Payout Ratio44.47%53.58%62.68%71.79%80.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)79.5494.87109.89124.59138.99153.09162.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)88.4389.3490.24
Year 2 PV (M)95.4897.4499.42
Year 3 PV (M)100.91104.03107.22
Year 4 PV (M)104.94109.29113.77
Year 5 PV (M)107.74113.35119.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,569.733,755.613,949.16
Equity Value (M)4,067.244,269.064,479.00
Shares Outstanding (M)406.54406.54406.54
Fair Value$10.00$10.50$11.02
Upside / Downside27.45%33.77%40.35%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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