Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Evans Electric Ltd. (EVANS.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Personal Products & ServicesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,665.81 - $4,035.48$3,781.84
Multi-Stage$580.51 - $635.89$607.69
Blended Fair Value$2,194.76
Current Price$165.00
Upside1,230.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS9.21%0.00%1.711.140.570.340.571.100.000.030.250.10
YoY Growth--50.00%100.00%69.03%-40.84%-48.21%0.00%-100.00%-89.40%150.73%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.27%1.07%1.10%1.39%0.80%2.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)97.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)83.72
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.4912.187.31
Cash Retained (M)83.7283.7283.72
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.49-12.18-7.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)64.2371.5476.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.804.804.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share13.3814.9015.91
LTM Dividend per Share2.862.862.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share13.3814.9015.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend16.2317.7618.77
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,665.81$3,781.84$4,035.48
Upside / Downside909.58%2,192.02%2,345.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)97.44103.77110.52117.70125.35133.50137.51
Payout Ratio14.08%29.26%44.45%59.63%74.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13.7230.3749.1270.1993.78120.15127.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)28.2428.5128.78
Year 2 PV (M)42.4843.2944.10
Year 3 PV (M)56.4458.0659.71
Year 4 PV (M)70.1372.8275.60
Year 5 PV (M)83.5587.5891.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,506.792,627.872,753.58
Equity Value (M)2,787.622,918.133,053.54
Shares Outstanding (M)4.804.804.80
Fair Value$580.51$607.69$635.89
Upside / Downside251.83%268.30%285.39%

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