Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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El-Mor Electric Installation & Services (1986) Ltd. (ELMR.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.16 - $62.42$36.65
Multi-Stage$17.17 - $18.73$17.93
Blended Fair Value$27.29
Current Price$14.50
Upside88.21%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.02%4.91%0.590.500.460.370.230.380.290.580.760.18
YoY Growth--17.39%9.54%23.33%59.29%-39.02%32.20%-49.92%-24.00%316.67%-50.00%
Dividend Yield--4.00%4.87%4.52%2.90%2.99%9.09%4.83%7.74%11.30%2.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)34.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17.22
(=) Cash Retained (M)17.48
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.944.342.60
Cash Retained (M)17.4817.4817.48
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.94-4.34-2.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.5413.1414.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32.9632.9632.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.320.400.45
LTM Dividend per Share0.520.520.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.320.400.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.840.920.97
WACC / Discount Rate9.18%9.18%9.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$24.16$36.65$62.42
Upside / Downside66.65%152.73%330.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)34.7036.9639.3641.9244.6447.5448.97
Payout Ratio49.64%57.71%65.78%73.85%81.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17.2221.3325.8930.9636.5742.7945.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.18%9.18%9.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)19.3519.5319.72
Year 2 PV (M)21.3121.7222.13
Year 3 PV (M)23.1223.7924.47
Year 4 PV (M)24.7925.7426.72
Year 5 PV (M)26.3127.5828.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)450.95472.73495.34
Equity Value (M)565.84591.10617.28
Shares Outstanding (M)32.9632.9632.96
Fair Value$17.17$17.93$18.73
Upside / Downside18.40%23.68%29.16%

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