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Digital Value S.p.A. (DGV.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$55.05 - $83.98$68.60
Multi-Stage$114.16 - $125.80$119.87
Blended Fair Value$94.23
Current Price$30.60
Upside207.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%0.940.840.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--11.13%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.87%1.36%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)62.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)52.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.487.804.68
Cash Retained (M)52.9652.9652.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.48-7.80-4.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)40.4945.1748.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.0710.0710.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.024.494.80
LTM Dividend per Share0.940.940.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.024.494.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.965.425.73
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$55.05$68.60$83.98
Upside / Downside79.90%124.17%174.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)62.3861.7661.1460.5359.9259.3261.10
Payout Ratio15.10%30.08%45.06%60.04%75.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.4218.5727.5536.3444.9553.3956.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)17.2117.3917.56
Year 2 PV (M)23.6624.1424.63
Year 3 PV (M)28.9229.8130.72
Year 4 PV (M)33.1534.5235.94
Year 5 PV (M)36.4838.3840.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,010.061,062.661,117.42
Equity Value (M)1,149.481,206.901,266.64
Shares Outstanding (M)10.0710.0710.07
Fair Value$114.16$119.87$125.80
Upside / Downside273.08%291.72%311.11%

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