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Definitive Analysis

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Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi (CCOLA.IS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - Non-AlcoholicSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$383.48 - $998.71$935.93
Multi-Stage$141.48 - $154.91$148.07
Blended Fair Value$542.00
Current Price$46.00
Upside1,078.27%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS52.50%40.09%0.880.390.220.250.090.110.080.030.010.04
YoY Growth--125.05%74.91%-11.72%197.89%-20.34%30.34%211.62%146.21%-70.05%17.91%
Dividend Yield--1.66%0.72%1.21%2.39%1.37%3.37%2.92%0.81%0.33%0.96%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14,051.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,516.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)10,535.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,810.261,756.421,053.85
Cash Retained (M)10,535.1110,535.1110,535.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,810.26-1,756.42-1,053.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,724.848,778.699,481.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,798.082,798.082,798.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.763.143.39
LTM Dividend per Share1.261.261.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.763.143.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.024.394.65
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$383.48$935.93$998.71
Upside / Downside733.64%1,934.64%2,071.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14,051.3214,964.6615,937.3616,973.2918,076.5519,251.5319,829.07
Payout Ratio25.02%38.02%51.01%64.01%77.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,516.215,689.458,130.3610,864.5413,919.8217,326.3818,341.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5,286.825,336.935,387.05
Year 2 PV (M)7,020.347,154.067,289.04
Year 3 PV (M)8,717.348,967.599,222.57
Year 4 PV (M)10,378.4010,777.5311,188.05
Year 5 PV (M)12,004.0812,583.8813,185.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)352,476.07369,500.79387,177.09
Equity Value (M)395,883.05414,320.78433,449.68
Shares Outstanding (M)2,798.082,798.082,798.08
Fair Value$141.48$148.07$154.91
Upside / Downside207.57%221.90%236.76%

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