DDM Analysis: BAKK.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2.02 - $3.34	$2.60
Multi-Stage	$2.61 - $2.85	$2.73
Blended Fair Value	$2.67
Current Price	$2.16
Upside	23.40%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	4.71%	0.00%	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.06	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.01
YoY Growth	-	-	7.35%	5.15%	0.78%	0.00%	-100.00%	200.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.09%	8.26%	6.85%	5.19%	0.00%	4.22%	1.40%	0.00%	0.00%	0.31%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	101.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	88.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)	13.10

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	20.26	12.66	7.60
Cash Retained (M)	13.10	13.10	13.10
(-) Cash Required (M)	-20.26	-12.66	-7.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-7.16	0.44	5.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	589.29	589.29	589.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.00	0.01
LTM Dividend per Share	0.15	0.15	0.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.00	0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.14	0.15	0.16
WACC / Discount Rate	8.94%	8.94%	8.94%
Growth Rate	1.98%	2.98%	3.98%
Fair Value	$2.02	$2.60	$3.34
Upside / Downside	-6.62%	20.45%	54.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	101.30	104.32	107.44	110.64	113.94	117.34	120.86
Payout Ratio	87.07%	87.65%	88.24%	88.83%	89.41%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	88.20	91.44	94.80	98.28	101.88	105.61	111.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.94%	8.94%	8.94%
Growth Rate	1.98%	2.98%	3.98%
Year 1 PV (M)	83.13	83.94	84.76
Year 2 PV (M)	78.34	79.88	81.44
Year 3 PV (M)	73.83	76.02	78.26
Year 4 PV (M)	69.57	72.34	75.19
Year 5 PV (M)	65.56	68.84	72.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,168.85	1,227.29	1,288.04
Equity Value (M)	1,539.27	1,608.31	1,679.93
Shares Outstanding (M)	589.29	589.29	589.29
Fair Value	$2.61	$2.73	$2.85
Upside / Downside	20.93%	26.35%	31.98%

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Bakkavor Group plc (BAKK.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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