Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Bauer AG (B5A.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.35 - $11.86$9.38
Multi-Stage$17.08 - $18.83$17.94
Blended Fair Value$13.66
Current Price$6.10
Upside123.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2021202020192018201720162015201420132012
DPS-16.86%-19.80%0.050.080.110.100.090.120.120.110.250.38
YoY Growth---42.42%-26.31%17.66%6.94%-25.58%0.99%9.44%-56.41%-33.78%-13.12%
Dividend Yield--0.52%0.75%1.13%0.61%0.47%0.85%0.82%0.61%1.31%1.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)17.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.622.261.36
Cash Retained (M)17.2117.2117.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.62-2.26-1.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.5914.9515.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.1326.1326.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.520.570.61
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.520.570.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.550.610.64
WACC / Discount Rate5.95%5.95%5.95%
Growth Rate-1.49%-0.49%0.51%
Fair Value$7.35$9.38$11.86
Upside / Downside20.49%53.82%94.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18.1218.0317.9417.8517.7717.6818.21
Payout Ratio5.00%22.00%39.00%56.00%73.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.913.977.0010.0012.9715.9116.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.95%5.95%5.95%
Growth Rate-1.49%-0.49%0.51%
Year 1 PV (M)3.713.743.78
Year 2 PV (M)6.116.236.36
Year 3 PV (M)8.168.418.66
Year 4 PV (M)9.8910.2910.71
Year 5 PV (M)11.3311.9212.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)407.07428.15450.10
Equity Value (M)446.26468.75492.15
Shares Outstanding (M)26.1326.1326.13
Fair Value$17.08$17.94$18.83
Upside / Downside179.98%194.09%208.77%

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