Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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ASSA ABLOY AB (publ) (ASSA-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Security & Protection ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$864.72 - $2,628.69$2,463.46
Multi-Stage$357.86 - $391.49$374.37
Blended Fair Value$1,418.92
Current Price$326.60
Upside334.45%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.06%11.01%5.404.804.203.903.853.503.303.002.652.17
YoY Growth--12.51%14.27%7.71%1.29%10.01%6.06%10.02%13.18%22.31%14.08%
Dividend Yield--1.80%1.57%1.69%1.53%1.53%1.86%1.63%1.66%1.44%1.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14,682.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,285.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,397.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,936.401,835.251,101.15
Cash Retained (M)8,397.008,397.008,397.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,936.40-1,835.25-1,101.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,460.606,561.757,295.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,110.781,110.781,110.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.925.916.57
LTM Dividend per Share5.665.665.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.925.916.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.5711.5712.23
WACC / Discount Rate6.79%6.79%6.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$864.72$2,463.46$2,628.69
Upside / Downside164.76%654.28%704.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14,682.0015,636.3316,652.6917,735.1218,887.9020,115.6120,719.08
Payout Ratio42.81%52.25%61.68%71.12%80.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,285.008,169.3610,272.1312,613.7515,216.3818,104.0519,165.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.79%6.79%6.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)7,578.097,649.927,721.75
Year 2 PV (M)8,839.029,007.389,177.33
Year 3 PV (M)10,068.3810,357.4110,651.91
Year 4 PV (M)11,266.7411,700.0312,145.70
Year 5 PV (M)12,434.6913,035.2913,658.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)347,311.47364,086.74381,504.04
Equity Value (M)397,498.39415,836.77434,859.60
Shares Outstanding (M)1,110.781,110.781,110.78
Fair Value$357.86$374.37$391.49
Upside / Downside9.57%14.63%19.87%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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