Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Autopedia Sukses Lestari Tbk (ASLC.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - DealershipsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.25 - $28.70$24.42
Multi-Stage$29.70 - $32.65$31.15
Blended Fair Value$27.78
Current Price$64.00
Upside-56.59%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.150.370.000.001.960.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---58.33%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.22%0.36%0.00%0.00%0.61%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)39,309.17
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,800.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)36,508.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,861.834,913.652,948.19
Cash Retained (M)36,508.9736,508.9736,508.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,861.83-4,913.65-2,948.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)28,647.1331,595.3233,560.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12,746.3612,746.3612,746.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.252.482.63
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.252.482.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.472.702.85
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$20.25$24.42$28.70
Upside / Downside-68.36%-61.84%-55.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)39,309.1738,916.0838,526.9138,141.6537,760.2337,382.6338,504.11
Payout Ratio7.12%23.70%40.27%56.85%73.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,800.209,222.6515,516.3721,683.3027,725.3433,644.3635,616.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)8,304.098,388.828,473.56
Year 2 PV (M)12,579.4812,837.5113,098.16
Year 3 PV (M)15,828.2816,317.7816,817.27
Year 4 PV (M)18,223.0618,978.3219,756.82
Year 5 PV (M)19,911.0020,947.8122,027.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)303,728.59319,544.44336,012.39
Equity Value (M)378,574.50397,014.69416,185.58
Shares Outstanding (M)12,746.3612,746.3612,746.36
Fair Value$29.70$31.15$32.65
Upside / Downside-53.59%-51.33%-48.98%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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