Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ansell Limited (ANN.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.18 - $18.81$15.26
Multi-Stage$24.12 - $26.48$25.28
Blended Fair Value$20.27
Current Price$19.93
Upside1.69%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.61%0.65%0.460.390.460.630.560.450.440.440.440.44
YoY Growth--19.74%-15.42%-27.53%12.29%25.08%2.66%-1.47%1.33%0.17%0.84%
Dividend Yield--2.32%2.24%2.57%4.10%1.72%1.77%2.30%2.20%2.40%3.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)179.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)116.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)62.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35.9622.4813.49
Cash Retained (M)62.8862.8862.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-35.96-22.48-13.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)26.9240.4149.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)137.76137.76137.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.290.36
LTM Dividend per Share0.850.850.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.290.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.041.141.21
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate-1.35%-0.35%0.65%
Fair Value$12.18$15.26$18.81
Upside / Downside-38.91%-23.45%-5.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)179.80179.18178.55177.93177.30176.69181.99
Payout Ratio65.03%70.02%75.02%80.01%85.01%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)116.92125.46133.94142.36150.72159.02168.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate-1.35%-0.35%0.65%
Year 1 PV (M)115.96117.13118.31
Year 2 PV (M)114.42116.75119.10
Year 3 PV (M)112.40115.85119.37
Year 4 PV (M)109.98114.51119.18
Year 5 PV (M)107.25112.79118.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,762.072,904.933,053.64
Equity Value (M)3,322.073,481.963,648.17
Shares Outstanding (M)137.76137.76137.76
Fair Value$24.12$25.28$26.48
Upside / Downside21.00%26.82%32.88%

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