Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Aixtron Se (AIX2.F)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.32 - $38.99$26.04
Multi-Stage$13.32 - $14.55$13.92
Blended Fair Value$19.98
Current Price$15.59
Upside28.18%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.400.310.300.110.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--29.26%3.50%173.61%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.98%1.32%0.97%0.55%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)108.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)91.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.7213.588.15
Cash Retained (M)91.6991.6991.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.72-13.58-8.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)69.9778.1183.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)111.65111.65111.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.630.700.75
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.630.700.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.780.850.90
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$18.32$26.04$38.99
Upside / Downside17.52%67.04%150.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)108.60115.66123.18131.19139.71148.80153.26
Payout Ratio15.58%30.46%45.35%60.23%75.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.9235.2355.8679.01104.95133.92141.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)31.7332.0332.34
Year 2 PV (M)45.3246.1847.05
Year 3 PV (M)57.7459.4061.08
Year 4 PV (M)69.0771.7374.46
Year 5 PV (M)79.3983.2287.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,203.901,262.041,322.42
Equity Value (M)1,487.151,554.611,624.56
Shares Outstanding (M)111.65111.65111.65
Fair Value$13.32$13.92$14.55
Upside / Downside-14.56%-10.69%-6.67%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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