Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Ahren Acquisition Corp. (AHRN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Shell CompaniesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.74 - $7.03$5.84
Multi-Stage$8.55 - $9.42$8.98
Blended Fair Value$7.41
Current Price$10.41
Upside-28.84%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.030.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)19.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.452.781.67
Cash Retained (M)19.8419.8419.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.45-2.78-1.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.3917.0618.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)37.5037.5037.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.410.450.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.410.450.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.470.520.55
WACC / Discount Rate7.80%7.80%7.80%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.74$5.84$7.03
Upside / Downside-54.42%-43.92%-32.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22.2422.0221.8021.5821.3621.1521.78
Payout Ratio10.79%26.64%42.48%58.32%74.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.405.869.2612.5815.8419.0320.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.80%7.80%7.80%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5.385.445.49
Year 2 PV (M)7.817.978.13
Year 3 PV (M)9.7410.0510.35
Year 4 PV (M)11.2611.7312.21
Year 5 PV (M)12.4313.0813.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)274.09288.36303.22
Equity Value (M)320.72336.62353.16
Shares Outstanding (M)37.5037.5037.50
Fair Value$8.55$8.98$9.42
Upside / Downside-17.84%-13.77%-9.53%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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