Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ador Fontech Limited (ADORFO.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$332.73 - $1,278.94$949.55
Multi-Stage$182.48 - $199.80$190.98
Blended Fair Value$570.26
Current Price$145.00
Upside293.29%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS27.23%9.52%4.992.992.190.004.271.500.001.501.752.00
YoY Growth--66.67%36.36%0.00%-100.00%185.33%0.00%-100.00%-14.19%-12.68%-0.43%
Dividend Yield--3.44%2.82%3.12%0.00%12.00%2.89%0.00%3.16%3.83%4.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)227.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)87.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)139.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)45.4028.3817.03
Cash Retained (M)139.50139.50139.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-45.40-28.38-17.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)94.10111.13122.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)35.1035.1035.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.683.173.49
LTM Dividend per Share2.492.492.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.683.173.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.175.665.98
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate4.91%5.91%6.91%
Fair Value$332.73$949.55$1,278.94
Upside / Downside129.47%554.86%782.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)227.00240.41254.62269.66285.59302.47311.54
Payout Ratio38.55%48.84%59.13%69.42%79.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)87.50117.41150.55187.19227.64272.22288.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate4.91%5.91%6.91%
Year 1 PV (M)109.16110.20111.24
Year 2 PV (M)130.14132.63135.15
Year 3 PV (M)150.45154.80159.22
Year 4 PV (M)170.11176.69183.46
Year 5 PV (M)189.13198.32207.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,656.865,931.666,217.04
Equity Value (M)6,405.866,704.317,013.97
Shares Outstanding (M)35.1035.1035.10
Fair Value$182.48$190.98$199.80
Upside / Downside25.85%31.71%37.80%

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