Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Banan Real Estate Company (9519.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.42 - $3.71$3.02
Multi-Stage$5.26 - $5.79$5.52
Blended Fair Value$4.27
Current Price$5.65
Upside-24.42%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.050.090.030.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---43.30%269.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.83%1.59%0.43%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)53.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.636.643.99
Cash Retained (M)35.9035.9035.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.63-6.64-3.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)25.2729.2631.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)200.00200.00200.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.210.230.25
WACC / Discount Rate6.62%6.62%6.62%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.42$3.02$3.71
Upside / Downside-57.24%-46.56%-34.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)53.1452.6052.0851.5651.0450.5352.05
Payout Ratio32.44%43.95%55.46%66.98%78.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17.2423.1228.8834.5340.0645.4848.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.62%6.62%6.62%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)21.4721.6821.90
Year 2 PV (M)24.9025.4125.92
Year 3 PV (M)27.6328.4929.36
Year 4 PV (M)29.7731.0032.27
Year 5 PV (M)31.3733.0034.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)916.92964.671,014.38
Equity Value (M)1,052.061,104.251,158.55
Shares Outstanding (M)200.00200.00200.00
Fair Value$5.26$5.52$5.79
Upside / Downside-6.90%-2.28%2.53%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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