Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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The Company for Cooperative Insurance (8010.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$514.20 - $1,421.21$1,331.88
Multi-Stage$196.90 - $215.60$206.08
Blended Fair Value$768.98
Current Price$136.00
Upside465.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%101.13%0.990.830.000.650.000.000.003.340.660.96
YoY Growth--18.87%445,796.43%-99.97%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-100.00%401.70%-31.02%105,280.29%
Dividend Yield--0.73%0.53%0.00%1.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%5.35%0.85%1.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,070.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)227.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)843.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)214.07133.7980.27
Cash Retained (M)843.22843.22843.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-214.07-133.79-80.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)629.15709.43762.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)149.77149.77149.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.204.745.09
LTM Dividend per Share1.521.521.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.204.745.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.726.256.61
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$514.20$1,331.88$1,421.21
Upside / Downside278.09%879.33%945.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,070.331,139.901,214.001,292.901,376.941,466.441,510.44
Payout Ratio21.22%34.98%48.73%62.49%76.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)227.11398.68591.60807.901,049.831,319.801,397.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)370.23373.74377.25
Year 2 PV (M)510.18519.90529.70
Year 3 PV (M)647.00665.57684.50
Year 4 PV (M)780.75810.78841.66
Year 5 PV (M)911.49955.511,001.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)26,270.5827,539.4528,856.90
Equity Value (M)29,490.2330,864.9632,291.24
Shares Outstanding (M)149.77149.77149.77
Fair Value$196.90$206.08$215.60
Upside / Downside44.78%51.53%58.53%

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