Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Marubeni Corporation (8002.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$34,456.37 - $68,519.18$64,212.51
Multi-Stage$10,523.95 - $11,524.25$11,014.89
Blended Fair Value$37,613.70
Current Price$3,698.00
Upside917.14%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS19.75%12.79%89.0983.6976.8449.8429.8936.1737.2227.2620.9724.64
YoY Growth--6.45%8.91%54.17%66.75%-17.36%-2.81%36.54%30.00%-14.89%-7.84%
Dividend Yield--3.06%2.80%3.15%4.07%3.09%7.42%5.02%3.23%2.89%5.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)570,338.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)157,575.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)412,763.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)114,067.6071,292.2542,775.35
Cash Retained (M)412,763.00412,763.00412,763.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-114,067.60-71,292.25-42,775.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)298,695.40341,470.75369,987.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,655.391,655.391,655.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share180.44206.28223.50
LTM Dividend per Share95.1995.1995.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share180.44206.28223.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend275.63301.47318.69
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$34,456.37$64,212.51$68,519.18
Upside / Downside831.76%1,636.41%1,752.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)570,338.00607,409.97646,891.62688,939.57733,720.65781,412.49804,854.86
Payout Ratio27.63%40.10%52.58%65.05%77.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)157,575.00243,587.69340,116.29448,164.43568,821.85703,271.24744,490.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)226,905.75229,056.52231,207.28
Year 2 PV (M)295,126.18300,747.51306,421.87
Year 3 PV (M)362,249.56372,648.44383,244.45
Year 4 PV (M)428,288.98444,759.77461,701.12
Year 5 PV (M)493,257.44517,081.96541,818.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,615,407.0816,369,637.0817,152,733.24
Equity Value (M)17,421,235.0018,233,931.2819,077,126.26
Shares Outstanding (M)1,655.391,655.391,655.39
Fair Value$10,523.95$11,014.89$11,524.25
Upside / Downside184.58%197.86%211.63%

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