Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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QL Resources Berhad (7084.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.37 - $23.79$8.50
Multi-Stage$2.52 - $2.75$2.64
Blended Fair Value$5.57
Current Price$4.34
Upside28.34%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS19.30%14.98%0.050.040.050.020.020.020.020.020.010.01
YoY Growth--11.52%-7.14%100.00%16.67%0.00%0.00%-19.31%70.59%0.00%21.43%
Dividend Yield--1.05%1.00%1.31%0.67%0.53%0.47%0.66%0.93%0.86%0.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)436.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)182.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)254.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)87.3454.5932.75
Cash Retained (M)254.23254.23254.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-87.34-54.59-32.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)166.89199.64221.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,650.313,650.313,650.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.100.11
WACC / Discount Rate7.81%7.81%7.81%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4.37$8.50$23.79
Upside / Downside0.68%95.96%448.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)436.72465.10495.33527.53561.82598.34616.29
Payout Ratio41.79%51.43%61.07%70.71%80.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)182.48239.19302.51373.04451.46538.50570.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.81%7.81%7.81%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)219.78221.86223.95
Year 2 PV (M)255.40260.26265.17
Year 3 PV (M)289.38297.69306.16
Year 4 PV (M)321.80334.17346.90
Year 5 PV (M)352.69369.72387.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,760.668,135.508,524.69
Equity Value (M)9,199.709,619.2110,054.27
Shares Outstanding (M)3,650.313,650.313,650.31
Fair Value$2.52$2.64$2.75
Upside / Downside-41.93%-39.28%-36.54%

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