Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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eMnet Japan.co.ltd. (7036.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Advertising AgenciesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$296.60 - $453.82$370.07
Multi-Stage$669.07 - $734.51$701.15
Blended Fair Value$535.61
Current Price$985.00
Upside-45.62%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS24.48%0.00%31.8031.6226.6617.0410.7710.640.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.55%18.60%56.45%58.17%1.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.44%2.91%1.90%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)128.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)123.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25.6316.029.61
Cash Retained (M)5.145.145.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-25.63-16.02-9.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)-20.49-10.88-4.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.883.883.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share-5.29-2.81-1.15
LTM Dividend per Share31.7331.7331.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share-5.29-2.81-1.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend26.4528.9330.58
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$296.60$370.07$453.82
Upside / Downside-69.89%-62.43%-53.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)128.14126.86125.59124.33123.09121.86125.51
Payout Ratio95.99%94.79%93.59%92.40%91.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)123.00120.25117.54114.88112.25109.67116.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)111.52112.66113.80
Year 2 PV (M)101.10103.17105.27
Year 3 PV (M)91.6394.4797.36
Year 4 PV (M)83.0486.4890.03
Year 5 PV (M)75.2479.1683.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,130.912,241.872,357.41
Equity Value (M)2,593.442,717.812,847.10
Shares Outstanding (M)3.883.883.88
Fair Value$669.07$701.15$734.51
Upside / Downside-32.07%-28.82%-25.43%

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