Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Suzhou Nanomicro Technology Co., Ltd. (688690.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.95 - $14.75$9.87
Multi-Stage$5.09 - $5.55$5.32
Blended Fair Value$7.59
Current Price$28.88
Upside-73.71%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS139.37%0.00%0.060.120.080.000.000.000.000.010.000.00
YoY Growth---48.54%49.82%7,215.16%93.96%-28.16%-64.75%-81.44%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.28%0.57%0.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)148.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)28.38
(=) Cash Retained (M)120.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)29.7218.5811.15
Cash Retained (M)120.23120.23120.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-29.72-18.58-11.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)90.50101.65109.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)400.85400.85400.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.230.250.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.230.250.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.300.320.34
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$6.95$9.87$14.75
Upside / Downside-75.92%-65.82%-48.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)148.61158.27168.55179.51191.18203.60209.71
Payout Ratio19.10%33.28%47.46%61.64%75.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)28.3852.6779.99110.65144.95183.24193.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)47.4347.8848.33
Year 2 PV (M)64.8866.1167.36
Year 3 PV (M)80.8183.1385.50
Year 4 PV (M)95.3499.00102.78
Year 5 PV (M)108.54113.78119.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,641.581,720.871,803.19
Equity Value (M)2,038.582,130.782,226.38
Shares Outstanding (M)400.85400.85400.85
Fair Value$5.09$5.32$5.55
Upside / Downside-82.39%-81.59%-80.77%

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